Tip Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05 face each other in Bundesliga (Germany). On this page we bring together recent form, head‑to‑head record, league standings and key absences, finishing with our EV+ statistical model’s pick for the 1X2 and goals markets.

Recent form and league table

Looking at recent form, Bayer Leverkusen show 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 defeat(s) in the last five league games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 goals. Meanwhile, FSV Mainz 05 record 3 win(s), 1 draw(s) and 1 defeat(s) over the same span, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded.

No standings available for this league/season.

Head-to-head (H2H)

In the most recent head‑to‑head meetings between Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05, the teams have faced each other 32 time(s), with Bayer Leverkusen winning 13 match(es), FSV Mainz 05 winning 14 and 5 draw(s), for an average of 2.8 goal(s) per game. At least three goals were scored in 16 of those games, which points towards a clear trend for open matches in terms of goals. In fewer than half of the games both teams scored, hinting at a slightly more favourable record for the defences. In the latest meeting, the score was Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 FSV Mainz 05, played on 28/02/2026 in the Bundesliga, an extra data point to consider when framing the context of this new clash.

Conclusion – Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05

Given recent form, key absences and the usually balanced head‑to‑head record between Bayer Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05, our EV+ statistical model finds positive expected value in the 1X2 market, highlighting the scenario above as the main betting angle. As an alternative or complement, the goals market suggested by the model offers an extra option for more conservative profiles or for diversifying exposure to this match.

EV reading guideline: values up to around 8 points are not particularly strong; above that level we are already talking about meaningful positive expected value. When EV moves beyond 15 points, it is recommended to further investigate contextual factors that might be inflating the model, such as teams already relegated or with nothing to play for, internal crises, heavy injury lists in key positions, recent coaching changes, schedule congestion, extreme weather or clear differences in competitive motivation.