Tip Marseille vs Toulouse

Marseille and Toulouse face each other in Ligue 1 (France), scheduled for 01/11/2026 at 19:45. On this page we bring together recent form, head‑to‑head record, league standings and key absences, finishing with our EV+ statistical model’s pick for the 1X2 and goals markets.

No standings available for this league/season.

Head-to-head (H2H)

In the most recent head‑to‑head meetings between Marseille and Toulouse, the teams have faced each other 34 time(s), with Marseille winning 9 match(es), Toulouse winning 11 and 14 draw(s), for an average of 2.7 goal(s) per game. At least three goals were scored in 17 of those games, which points towards a clear trend for open matches in terms of goals. Both teams scored in 19 of the 34 games analysed, reinforcing the idea of a match‑up where both attacks usually create danger. In the latest meeting, the score was Marseille 0-0 Toulouse, played on 01/05/2027 in the Ligue 1, an extra data point to consider when framing the context of this new clash.

Conclusion – Marseille vs Toulouse

Given recent form, key absences and the usually balanced head‑to‑head record between Marseille and Toulouse, our EV+ statistical model finds positive expected value in the 1X2 market, highlighting the scenario above as the main betting angle. As an alternative or complement, the goals market suggested by the model offers an extra option for more conservative profiles or for diversifying exposure to this match.

EV reading guideline: values up to around 8 points are not particularly strong; above that level we are already talking about meaningful positive expected value. When EV moves beyond 15 points, it is recommended to further investigate contextual factors that might be inflating the model, such as teams already relegated or with nothing to play for, internal crises, heavy injury lists in key positions, recent coaching changes, schedule congestion, extreme weather or clear differences in competitive motivation.