Tip Genoa vs Fiorentina

Genoa and Fiorentina face each other in Serie A (Italy), scheduled for 10/10/2026 at 14:00. On this page we bring together recent form, head‑to‑head record, league standings and key absences, finishing with our EV+ statistical model’s pick for the 1X2 and goals markets.

No standings available for this league/season.

Head-to-head (H2H)

In the most recent head‑to‑head meetings between Genoa and Fiorentina, the teams have faced each other 32 time(s), with Genoa winning 8 match(es), Fiorentina winning 6 and 18 draw(s), for an average of 2.3 goal(s) per game. Most encounters finished under three goals, suggesting generally tighter scorelines. Both teams scored in 16 of the 32 games analysed, reinforcing the idea of a match‑up where both attacks usually create danger. In the latest meeting, the score was Genoa 0-0 Fiorentina, played on 21/03/2027 in the Serie A, an extra data point to consider when framing the context of this new clash.

Conclusion – Genoa vs Fiorentina

Given recent form, key absences and the usually balanced head‑to‑head record between Genoa and Fiorentina, our EV+ statistical model finds positive expected value in the 1X2 market, highlighting the scenario above as the main betting angle. As an alternative or complement, the goals market suggested by the model offers an extra option for more conservative profiles or for diversifying exposure to this match.

EV reading guideline: values up to around 8 points are not particularly strong; above that level we are already talking about meaningful positive expected value. When EV moves beyond 15 points, it is recommended to further investigate contextual factors that might be inflating the model, such as teams already relegated or with nothing to play for, internal crises, heavy injury lists in key positions, recent coaching changes, schedule congestion, extreme weather or clear differences in competitive motivation.